Historic data from Coinglass shows that from 2013 to 2024, February and October ended in the red only four times combined. Since January 2025, $BTC dropped in February both years, and October 2025 was also negative.
Before last year, both months were red in the same year only in 2014. However, two of February’s “positive” results were less than 1%, meaning the price had essentially remained unchanged.
Failed Patterns and Smaller Changes
While February has moved away from its historic performance two years in a row now, and October is about to become another test, what has also changed since 2025 is that monthly changes have become smaller. In 2025, the average month moved 8.4% up or down, which was the smallest change since 2013. This year, this range has increased to 11.3%, making it the second-smallest.
